Outcome markets on Hyperliquid, quoted as probabilities. PerpRadar records the venue's own mids every cycle and measures spread and fill cost by walking outcome books it records itself. Once an outcome settles, the venue serves no history — this recording is the archive. Gaps stay labeled, never guessed.
One panel per question or market family. Probability is the venue’s own recorded mid for the named side; Spread and Fill cost are measured by walking books PerpRadar records — the two outcome sides mirror each other exactly, so one recorded book prices both. Rows rank by recorded probability; the fill size you pick drives every panel.
| Market | Probabilityi | 24hi | Spreadi | Fill cost · $1ki | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC · line $63,101 new | 12.3% | new | 1.9¢ | Yes ≈$7.14 · No ≈$1.07Yes ≈$43.1 · No ≈$5.33Yes ≈$123.17 · No ≈$10.67Yes fills ≈$4,815 · No ≈$84.83Yes fills ≈$4,815 · No ≈$1,248 | |
| ETH · line $1,774.6 new | 20.7% | new | 4.7¢ | Yes ≈$10.29 · No ≈$2.9Yes ≈$73.66 · No ≈$30.72Yes ≈$298.14 · No ≈$67.28Yes ≈$3,313 · No ≈$808.84Yes ≈$19,146 · No ≈$4,835 | |
| SOL · line $80.401 new | 30.8% | new | 4.4¢ | Yes ≈$6.72 · No ≈$3.11Yes ≈$47.74 · No ≈$26.13Yes ≈$107.08 · No ≈$66.68Yes ≈$2,518 · No ≈$911.41Yes ≈$16,312 · No ≈$6,976 | |
| HYPE · line $70.698 new | 21.0% | new | 6.0¢ | Yes ≈$57.64 · No ≈$12.73Yes ≈$364.99 · No ≈$102.55Yes ≈$749.18 · No ≈$214.84Yes ≈$3,823 · No ≈$1,113Yes ≈$19,190 · No ≈$5,604 |
| Match | Probabilityi | 24hi | Spreadi | Fill cost · $1ki | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| World Cup Round of 16: USA vs Belgium | USA 53.9% | +3.9 pts | 0.2¢ | USA ≈$0.18 · Belgium ≈$0.21USA ≈$0.91 · Belgium ≈$1.07USA ≈$1.83 · Belgium ≈$3.76USA ≈$10.6 · Belgium ≈$59.57USA ≈$58.36 · Belgium ≈$598.67 | |
| World Cup Round of 16: Switzerland vs Colombia | Switzerland 40.3% | +1.6 pts | 0.4¢ | Switzerland ≈$0.52 · Colombia ≈$0.35Switzerland ≈$3.98 · Colombia ≈$2.7Switzerland ≈$8.56 · Colombia ≈$7.08Switzerland ≈$45.18 · Colombia ≈$61.28Switzerland ≈$276.17 · Colombia ≈$602.28 | |
| World Cup Round of 16: Argentina vs Egypt | Argentina 85.5% | +0.9 pts | 0.6¢ | Argentina ≈$0.35 · Egypt ≈$2.01Argentina ≈$2.2 · Egypt ≈$10.08Argentina ≈$5.11 · Egypt ≈$20.59Argentina ≈$36.25 · Egypt ≈$462.14Argentina ≈$197.86 · Egypt fills ≈$19,936 | |
| World Cup Round of 16: Portugal vs Spain | Portugal 33.8% | +0.6 pts | 0.7¢ | Portugal ≈$1.01 · Spain ≈$0.52Portugal ≈$5.1 · Spain ≈$2.61Portugal ≈$11.59 · Spain ≈$5.21Portugal ≈$65.48 · Spain ≈$26.14Portugal ≈$420 · Spain ≈$230.8 | |
| World Cup Quarterfinal: France vs Morocco new | France 78.0% | new | 0.1¢ | France ≈$0.18 · Morocco ≈$1.08France ≈$2.42 · Morocco ≈$11.24France ≈$5.36 · Morocco ≈$24.26France ≈$136.1 · Morocco ≈$128.45France ≈$2,091 · Morocco ≈$12,423 |
| Outcome | Probabilityi | 24hi | Spreadi | Fill cost · $1ki | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 33.0% | -2.3 pts | 0.6¢ | Yes ≈$0.86 · No ≈$0.43Yes ≈$4.46 · No ≈$2.14Yes ≈$11.83 · No ≈$4.28Yes ≈$92.94 · No ≈$21.68Yes ≈$498.45 · No ≈$108.65 | |
| Argentina | 16.8% | +0.1 pts | 0.4¢ | Yes ≈$1.28 · No ≈$0.26Yes ≈$6.39 · No ≈$1.3Yes ≈$12.79 · No ≈$2.6Yes ≈$141.9 · No ≈$17Yes ≈$1,344 · No ≈$97.79 | |
| England | 13.1% | +6.4 pts | 1.6¢ | Yes ≈$5.64 · No ≈$0.89Yes ≈$29.6 · No ≈$4.47Yes ≈$61.19 · No ≈$8.94Yes ≈$329.39 · No ≈$44.73Yes fills ≈$8,510 · No ≈$247.89 | |
| Spain | 12.7% | +0.2 pts | 0.1¢ | Yes ≈$0.46 · No ≈$0.07Yes ≈$2.31 · No ≈$0.34Yes ≈$4.62 · No ≈$0.69Yes ≈$102.97 · No ≈$11.26Yes fills ≈$6,305 · No ≈$67.01 | |
| Portugal | 5.7% | -0.2 pts | 0.4¢ | Yes ≈$3.29 · No ≈$0.20Yes ≈$16.47 · No ≈$1.02Yes ≈$32.96 · No ≈$2.04Yes ≈$311.12 · No ≈$13.51Yes fills ≈$19,500 · No ≈$724.66 | |
| Norway | 5.0% | +3.3 pts | 0.8¢ | Yes ≈$7.51 · No ≈$0.42Yes ≈$37.57 · No ≈$2.12Yes ≈$75.95 · No ≈$4.25Yes ≈$556.01 · No ≈$21.54Yes ≈$18,510 · No ≈$157.91 | |
| USA | 3.2% | +0.2 pts | 0.4¢ | Yes ≈$13.49 · No ≈$0.18Yes ≈$76.12 · No ≈$0.91Yes ≈$157.22 · No ≈$1.83Yes ≈$814.49 · No ≈$9.13Yes ≈$16,782 · No ≈$46.24 | |
| Colombia | 3.2% | +0.0 pts | 0.3¢ | Yes ≈$5.1 · No ≈$0.18Yes ≈$25.5 · No ≈$0.88Yes ≈$51 · No ≈$1.76Yes ≈$256.89 · No ≈$8.81Yes ≈$17,261 · No ≈$44.17 | |
| Morocco | 2.8% | +0.1 pts | 0.3¢ | Yes ≈$5.27 · No ≈$0.16Yes ≈$26.38 · No ≈$0.80Yes ≈$52.77 · No ≈$1.6Yes ≈$2,185 · No ≈$9.18Yes fills ≈$6,082 · No ≈$49.95 | |
| Belgium | 1.3% | -0.0 pts | 0.4¢ | Yes ≈$14.42 · No ≈$0.22Yes ≈$96.3 · No ≈$1.09Yes ≈$229.18 · No ≈$2.19Yes ≈$1,743 · No ≈$11.05Yes ≈$21,311 · No fills ≈$11,713 | |
| Switzerland | 1.0% | -0.1 pts | 0.3¢ | Yes ≈$14.41 · No ≈$0.17Yes ≈$134.55 · No ≈$1.02Yes ≈$342.55 · No ≈$2.13Yes ≈$2,987 · No ≈$23.66Yes ≈$22,783 · No ≈$196.39 | |
| Egypt | 0.4% | +0.2 pts | 0.5¢ | Yes ≈$35.38 · No ≈$0.25Yes ≈$319.68 · No ≈$1.23Yes ≈$691.25 · No ≈$2.46Yes ≈$3,987 · No ≈$12.3Yes ≈$23,814 · No ≈$66.73 | |
| Brazil | 0.1% | -6.9 pts | — | Yes avg 0.1¢ · No —Yes avg 0.7¢ · No —Yes avg 1.3¢ · No —Yes avg 6.2¢ · No —Yes avg 24.9¢ · No — | |
| Mexico | 0.0% | -3.6 pts | 0.1¢ | Yes ≈$54.9 · No ≈$0.04Yes ≈$447.66 · No ≈$0.22Yes ≈$945.43 · No ≈$0.44Yes ≈$4,936 · No fills ≈$3,955Yes ≈$24,927 · No fills ≈$3,955 | |
| None of the listed | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | — | $100 — nothing walkable$500 — nothing walkable$1k — nothing walkable$5k — nothing walkable$25k — nothing walkable |
| Outcome | Probabilityi | 24hi | Spreadi | Fill cost · $1ki | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | 88.9% | -2.6 pts | 2.6¢ | Yes ≈$1.57 · No ≈$16.27Yes ≈$27.9 · No ≈$106.44Yes ≈$70.65 · No ≈$513.46Yes ≈$473.63 · No ≈$4,020Yes ≈$2,647 · No ≈$21,734 | |
| Increase | 13.8% | +2.9 pts | 15.4¢ | Yes ≈$47.44 · No ≈$8.2Yes ≈$275.51 · No ≈$41.64Yes ≈$582.81 · No ≈$92.69Yes ≈$3,888 · No ≈$576.87Yes ≈$21,125 · No ≈$3,317 | |
| Decrease | 5.0% | +0.0 pts | 8.0¢ | Yes ≈$57.13 · No ≈$4.55Yes ≈$290.45 · No ≈$24.55Yes ≈$582.11 · No ≈$49.54Yes ≈$4,162 · No ≈$249.51Yes fills ≈$12,439 · No ≈$1,249 | |
| None of the listed | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | — | $100 — nothing walkable$500 — nothing walkable$1k — nothing walkable$5k — nothing walkable$25k — nothing walkable |
| Outcome | Probabilityi | 24hi | Spreadi | Fill cost · $1ki | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3.8% | 47.6% | +4.1 pts | 5.2¢ | Yes ≈$31.83 · No ≈$22.88Yes ≈$225.78 · No ≈$171.57Yes ≈$468.22 · No ≈$398.07Yes ≈$2,508 · No ≈$2,301Yes fills ≈$12,376 · No fills ≈$10,569 | |
| Below 3.8% | 26.2% | +0.0 pts | 29.6¢ | Yes ≈$38.02 · No ≈$16.7Yes ≈$249.54 · No ≈$86.32Yes ≈$563.87 · No ≈$176.33Yes ≈$3,515 · No ≈$1,168Yes fills ≈$10,921 · No ≈$6,259 | |
| Above 3.8% | 21.8% | +0.0 pts | 22.5¢ | Yes ≈$50.04 · No ≈$12.57Yes ≈$339.94 · No ≈$64.78Yes ≈$731.08 · No ≈$130.06Yes ≈$3,860 · No ≈$889.06Yes fills ≈$10,382 · No fills ≈$12,581 | |
| None of the listed | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | — | $100 — nothing walkable$500 — nothing walkable$1k — nothing walkable$5k — nothing walkable$25k — nothing walkable |
| Outcome | Probabilityi | 24hi | Spreadi | Fill cost · $1ki | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| below $61,839 new | 57.9% | new | 11.2¢ | Yes ≈$9.21 · No ≈$11.11Yes ≈$46.05 · No ≈$55.55Yes ≈$92.09 · No ≈$111.1Yes ≈$1,408 · No ≈$1,978Yes ≈$10,290 · No ≈$12,955 | |
| $61,839 – $64,363 new | 36.7% | new | 10.4¢ | Yes ≈$10.48 · No ≈$8.52Yes ≈$52.38 · No ≈$57.24Yes ≈$143.91 · No ≈$127.82Yes ≈$2,234 · No ≈$1,874Yes ≈$13,309 · No ≈$10,658 | |
| above $64,363 new | 2.3% | new | 2.4¢ | Yes ≈$75.01 · No ≈$1.2Yes ≈$465.33 · No ≈$5.99Yes ≈$955.81 · No ≈$11.97Yes ≈$4,880 · No ≈$59.87Yes ≈$24,499 · No ≈$299.35 | |
| None of the listed new | 50.0% | new | — | $100 — nothing walkable$500 — nothing walkable$1k — nothing walkable$5k — nothing walkable$25k — nothing walkable |
When an outcome settles, the venue removes it from the catalog and serves no history for it. The last probability PerpRadar recorded before removal is the closest thing to the printed result — shown here verbatim, labeled by its recording time, never restated as an official settlement.
| Market | Last recorded | Delisted | Data |
|---|---|---|---|
| World Cup Round of 16: Mexico vs England | Mexico 0.1% | 2026-07-06 06:25 UTC | delisted |
| BTC · line $62,731 | 99.1% | 2026-07-06 05:57 UTC | delisted |
| ETH · line $1,766.3 | 43.0% | 2026-07-06 05:57 UTC | delisted |
| SOL · line $80.457 | 81.0% | 2026-07-06 05:57 UTC | delisted |
| HYPE · line $68.502 | 98.2% | 2026-07-06 05:57 UTC | delisted |
| None of the listed | 50.0% | 2026-07-06 05:57 UTC | delisted |
| Recurring Named Outcome | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 05:57 UTC | delisted |
| Recurring Named Outcome | 99.0% | 2026-07-06 05:57 UTC | delisted |
| Recurring Named Outcome | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 05:57 UTC | delisted |
| World Cup Round of 16: Brazil vs Norway | Brazil 0.1% | 2026-07-06 02:53 UTC | delisted |
| Jordan | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 16:04 UTC | delisted |
| Netherlands | 0.0% | 2026-07-05 16:04 UTC | delisted |
| New Zealand | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 16:04 UTC | delisted |
| Panama | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 16:04 UTC | delisted |
| Paraguay | 0.0% | 2026-07-05 16:04 UTC | delisted |
| Qatar | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 16:04 UTC | delisted |
| Saudi Arabia | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 16:04 UTC | delisted |
| Scotland | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 16:04 UTC | delisted |
| Senegal | 0.0% | 2026-07-05 16:04 UTC | delisted |
| South Africa | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 16:04 UTC | delisted |
| South Korea | 0.0% | 2026-07-05 16:04 UTC | delisted |
| Sweden | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 16:04 UTC | delisted |
| Tunisia | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 16:04 UTC | delisted |
| Turkey | 0.0% | 2026-07-05 16:04 UTC | delisted |
| Uruguay | 0.0% | 2026-07-05 16:04 UTC | delisted |
| Uzbekistan | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 16:04 UTC | delisted |
| Iraq | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 16:01 UTC | delisted |
| Ivory Coast | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 16:01 UTC | delisted |
| Japan | 0.0% | 2026-07-05 16:01 UTC | delisted |
| Algeria | 0.0% | 2026-07-05 15:57 UTC | delisted |
| Ecuador | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 15:57 UTC | delisted |
| Germany | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 15:57 UTC | delisted |
| Ghana | 0.0% | 2026-07-05 15:57 UTC | delisted |
| Haiti | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 15:57 UTC | delisted |
| Iran | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 15:57 UTC | delisted |
| Australia | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 15:28 UTC | delisted |
| Austria | 0.0% | 2026-07-05 15:28 UTC | delisted |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 15:28 UTC | delisted |
| Canada | 0.0% | 2026-07-05 15:28 UTC | delisted |
| Cape Verde | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 15:28 UTC | delisted |
| Congo DR | 0.0% | 2026-07-05 15:28 UTC | delisted |
| Croatia | 0.0% | 2026-07-05 15:28 UTC | delisted |
| Curacao | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 15:28 UTC | delisted |
| Czechia | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 15:28 UTC | delisted |
| World Cup Round of 16: Paraguay vs France | Paraguay 0.0% | 2026-07-05 06:05 UTC | delisted |
| BTC · line $62,464 | 99.4% | 2026-07-05 05:58 UTC | delisted |
| ETH · line $1,756.3 | 81.5% | 2026-07-05 05:58 UTC | delisted |
| SOL · line $83.386 | 1.7% | 2026-07-05 05:58 UTC | delisted |
| HYPE · line $71.398 | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 05:58 UTC | delisted |
| None of the listed | 50.0% | 2026-07-05 05:58 UTC | delisted |
| Recurring Named Outcome | 1.8% | 2026-07-05 05:58 UTC | delisted |
| Recurring Named Outcome | 88.1% | 2026-07-05 05:58 UTC | delisted |
| Recurring Named Outcome | 30.5% | 2026-07-05 05:58 UTC | delisted |
| World Cup Round of 16: Canada vs Morocco | Canada 0.0% | 2026-07-05 01:15 UTC | delisted |
| BTC · line $61,729 | 99.8% | 2026-07-04 05:57 UTC | delisted |
| ETH · line $1,715.4 | 99.7% | 2026-07-04 05:57 UTC | delisted |
| SOL · line $81.161 | 99.7% | 2026-07-04 05:57 UTC | delisted |
| HYPE · line $67.287 | 99.9% | 2026-07-04 05:57 UTC | delisted |
| None of the listed | 50.0% | 2026-07-04 05:57 UTC | delisted |
| Recurring Named Outcome | 0.1% | 2026-07-04 05:57 UTC | delisted |
| Recurring Named Outcome | 91.0% | 2026-07-04 05:57 UTC | delisted |
| Recurring Named Outcome | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 05:57 UTC | delisted |
| World Cup Round of 32: Colombia vs Ghana | Colombia 100.0% | 2026-07-04 05:48 UTC | delisted |
| World Cup Round of 32: Argentina vs Cape Verde | Argentina 100.0% | 2026-07-04 05:45 UTC | delisted |
| World Cup Round of 32: Australia vs Egypt | Australia 0.0% | 2026-07-04 02:05 UTC | delisted |
PerpRadar has recorded this surface since 2026-07-03 10:48 UTC — probabilities every capture cycle, books on a rolling cadence. The venue serves no history once an outcome settles, so the archive above grows only by recording early.
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